Why index funds became the default choice
An index fund simply buys every company in a market index — like the S&P 500 or a global stock index — in proportion to its size. You don't pick winners. You own the market. Decades of data show that this approach beats the majority of professionally managed funds over 10+ year periods, mostly because of one factor: cost.
Active fund managers charge 1–2% per year to try to beat the market. Most don't, after fees. Index funds charge 0.03–0.20% per year for a fund that simply matches the market. Over 20–30 years, that fee difference compounds into a massive gap in final portfolio value.
The only three decisions that matter
Beginner investors often get paralyzed by choice. In reality, there are only three decisions worth spending time on:
- What mix of stocks and bonds (your asset allocation) — driven by your time horizon and risk tolerance
- How broad your diversification is — a global index fund vs. a single-country one
- How low your fees are — this is the one factor entirely within your control
Everything else — which specific fund provider, which exact ticker, what day of the month you invest — makes very little difference to your outcome.
A simple starting allocation
For someone with a long time horizon (10+ years until the money is needed), a common starting point is:
- 80–100% in a global or total-market stock index fund — for growth
- 0–20% in a bond index fund — to reduce volatility, increasing with age or as your time horizon shortens
As you get closer to needing the money (retirement, a house purchase), gradually shift the allocation toward bonds and cash to reduce the risk of a market downturn hitting right when you need to withdraw.
Why fees matter more than most people realize
Consider €50,000 invested for 25 years at a 7% average annual return, comparing a 0.15% fee fund against a 1.5% fee fund:
- 0.15% fee: grows to approximately €260,000
- 1.5% fee: grows to approximately €190,000
That's a €70,000 difference — on the same contributions, the same market return, with the only variable being the fee. This is why fee comparison deserves far more attention than most beginner investors give it.
The behaviour that matters more than the fund choice
The biggest determinant of long-term investing success isn't which index fund you pick — it's whether you keep contributing consistently and avoid selling during downturns. Markets regularly drop 20–30%, and the investors who panic-sell near the bottom lock in losses that patient investors recover from within a few years.
A practical way to remove emotion from the process: automate a fixed monthly contribution, and only check your portfolio value quarterly rather than daily.
Modelling your index fund portfolio long-term
Because index investing is a long game, the real value comes from seeing where consistent contributions lead over 10, 20, or 30 years — including the fee drag and realistic average returns (not best-case ones). A forecast that includes your actual contribution amount, a conservative growth assumption, and your fund's real expense ratio gives you a far more useful number than any generic "the market returns 10% a year" rule of thumb.
In MyRunway, you can set up an investment item with your monthly contribution, expected annual return, and management fee, and see exactly how the portfolio grows over your chosen time horizon — alongside your other financial goals, in the same forecast.
Ready to apply this to your own finances?
MyRunway gives you a complete financial forecasting platform — free to start. Model scenarios, track budgets, and see exactly where your wealth is headed.